Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012775 0.014404 0.016054 0.017846 0.019731 0.021650 0.023746
2025-05-04 0.009451 0.011922 0.014554 0.017533 0.020784 0.024199 0.028037
2025-05-11 0.007731 0.010652 0.013880 0.017642 0.021845 0.026348 0.031489
2025-05-18 0.006345 0.009540 0.013198 0.017571 0.022558 0.027983 0.034256
2025-05-25 0.005109 0.008441 0.012398 0.017251 0.022887 0.029105 0.036375
2025-06-01 0.004216 0.007651 0.011875 0.017172 0.023424 0.030401 0.038635
2025-06-08 0.003387 0.006841 0.011251 0.016911 0.023696 0.031354 0.040467
2025-06-15 0.002805 0.006288 0.010896 0.016928 0.024257 0.032606 0.042608
2025-06-22 0.002191 0.005604 0.010315 0.016626 0.024404 0.033351 0.044147
2025-06-29 0.001622 0.004896 0.009645 0.016167 0.024328 0.033809 0.045331
2025-07-06 0.001045 0.004046 0.008708 0.015314 0.023731 0.033624 0.045747
2025-07-13 0.000844 0.003821 0.008631 0.015559 0.024470 0.035003 0.047963
2025-07-20 0.000553 0.003360 0.008210 0.015379 0.024732 0.035883 0.049684
2025-07-27 0.000299 0.002858 0.007688 0.015050 0.024807 0.036551 0.051180
2025-08-03 0.000172 0.002590 0.007499 0.015155 0.025414 0.037846 0.053398
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.002279 0.007205 0.015089 0.025788 0.038845 0.055258
2025-08-17 0.000007 0.001911 0.006766 0.014791 0.025843 0.039442 0.056627
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001658 0.006497 0.014719 0.026178 0.040370 0.058382
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001376 0.006129 0.014476 0.026273 0.040992 0.059761
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001199 0.005943 0.014493 0.026703 0.042022 0.061623
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000959 0.005576 0.014212 0.026720 0.042527 0.062845
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000714 0.005136 0.013788 0.026524 0.042754 0.063719
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000435 0.004497 0.013000 0.025802 0.042298 0.063749